Undervalued or Underperforming? A Deep Dive into Two Falling P/E Stocks

Undervalued or Underperforming? A Deep Dive into Two Falling P/E Stocks

In a market where investors are constantly hunting for undervalued opportunities, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains one of the most widely used tools for identifying potential value buys. When high-quality companies trade below their long-term average P/E ratios, it often sparks interest. However, it’s essential to separate genuine value opportunities from possible value traps—stocks that look cheap but suffer from structural issues or weak future prospects.

Two prominent Indian companies—Maruti Suzuki and Cipla—are currently trading below their 10-year median P/E ratios. Both have strong fundamentals, but their recent growth trajectories have softened. Are these signs of temporary headwinds, or is the market rightly skeptical? Let’s take a closer look.

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Maruti Suzuki: Leadership with Execution Risks

Maruti suzuki
Source: Screener

P/E Snapshot:

  • Current P/E: 26.6x
  • 10-Year Median P/E: 37.6x

Maruti Suzuki is undeniably a titan in the Indian auto sector, commanding around 42% of the passenger vehicle market and leading both mini and compact car segments. The company reported a strong FY24, with its highest-ever annual sales volume of 1.79 million units. Key drivers included a robust SUV lineup, which saw a 119% year-over-year jump in sales, and solid export momentum that saw a 10% rise in outbound shipments. Maruti Suzuki’s SUV segment gained strong traction in FY25, accounting for 36% of its domestic passenger vehicle sales.

Financial Performance:

Operationally, Maruti delivered a strong year, with net sales up 20% and profit surging by 64%. Margins improved significantly, and return on equity rose to 18.3%. However, FY25 has already shown signs of cooling off, with volume growth slowing to 4.6% and profit growth softening to 5.6%. The industry expects just 1–2% growth in FY26, making execution on new product launches (e-Vitara and a new SUV) critical.

Export Outlook:

Exports rose to 332,585 units in FY25, reflecting a 17.5% increase from the previous year. Looking ahead, exports are expected to grow by 20% year-on-year in FY26. The company’s global footprint now extends to nearly 100 countries, with key export destinations including Chile, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, South Africa.

The Key Risks:

  • Domestic demand is tapering due to macroeconomic challenges.
  • Market competition in the SUV and EV segments is intensifying.
  • Execution on EV strategy and international expansion must deliver.

Bottom Line:

Maruti still has strong fundamentals, but near-term growth looks limited. If new models succeed and exports remain strong, the stock may re-rate. Until then, its below-average P/E might reflect genuine short-term concerns.

Maruti Suzuki Share Price

Cipla: A Pharma Powerhouse with Global Reach

Cipla
Source: Screener

P/E Snapshot:

  • Current P/E: 25x
  • 10-Year Median P/E: 31x

Cipla has long held a strong presence in India’s pharmaceutical landscape and is expanding globally, particularly in the U.S. and Africa. With a diversified product portfolio and exposure to high-margin chronic therapies, Cipla enjoys a solid revenue mix. The company’s FY24 performance was supported by strong U.S. sales, including key generic launches like Revlimid and Albuterol.

REVENUE SPLIT IN FY24

Financial Performance:

In FY24, Cipla reported revenue of ₹257.7 billion, marking a 13% year-on-year growth, with its gross margin rising to 65.8% (from 63.7% in FY23) and EBITDA margin improving to 24.4% (from 22.1%).Cipla’s EBITDA margin rose to 24.4% in FY24 and further to 26.8% in 9MFY25, reflecting efficient cost controls and a shift toward high-value segments. Net profit jumped 27% in this period, showing operational strength even amid slower top-line growth.
Top Indian Pharma Companies: Growth & Profitability Metrics

R&D Outlook:

The company’s long-term bets include a robust pipeline of 112 ANDAs in the U.S., a growing focus on respiratory and complex generics, and the use of AI to boost R&D productivity. With growth potential in obesity and oncology treatments, Cipla appears to be positioning itself well for future trends. Its R&D spending accounted for 6.1% of its revenue in FY24, up from 5.9% in FY23.

The Key Risks:

  • Slower domestic and international growth in recent quarters.
  • Regulatory uncertainties in key markets like the U.S.
  • Execution risk in launching complex and specialty products.

Bottom Line:

Cipla’s fundamentals remain intact, and margin expansion shows resilience. The company’s innovation and U.S. strategy could drive the next phase of growth. If execution stays strong, the current valuation may indeed be a discount.

Cipla Share Price

Cipla Share Price

Final Thoughts: Value Buys or Value Traps?

Both Maruti and Cipla present intriguing cases for value-focused investors. They are fundamentally solid, boast market leadership, and operate in sectors with long-term tailwinds. However, both are facing moderate growth in the near term, which has likely contributed to their current P/E discounts.

The key determinant moving forward will be execution—whether Maruti can navigate the EV transition and sustain exports, and whether Cipla can capitalize on its U.S. pipeline and specialty focus. If they succeed, the current valuations could offer attractive entry points. If not, the market’s caution might prove justified.

Investor takeaway: Watch upcoming product launches, margin trends, and management commentary closely. These will reveal whether the stocks are mispriced opportunities—or stocks priced just right.

FAQs

Maruti is gaining momentum through SUV sales, which grew by over 100%, and consistent growth in exports. New models like the e-Vitara are expected to keep this momentum alive if demand conditions improve.
At a P/E of 26.6x, Maruti is trading well below its 10-year average of 37.6x, suggesting a potential opportunity—assuming it can overcome recent demand challenges and deliver on upcoming launches.
Cipla has a diverse global presence, with India, North America, Africa, and Europe all contributing meaningfully. Its product and geographic spread reduce overreliance on any single market.
Growth could accelerate if Cipla delivers on high-margin U.S. launches, expands its complex generics pipeline, and capitalizes on growth areas like obesity treatment and AI-driven R&D.
Investors seem cautious due to recent slowdowns in growth despite both companies having solid fundamentals. This has pushed their P/E ratios below historical norms, raising questions about whether these are temporary dips or signs of deeper issues.
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Santanu Saha, the compliance officer at INVESMATE Insights, is a SEBI certified research analyst with more than 12 years of expertise in trading and investing. He is also well-known as a top SmallCap stock picker in the market. He has mentored thousands of students, equipping them with valuable financial knowledge and market insights to enhance their investment strategies and trading skills.

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